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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University0.78+0.96vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College0.43+0.27vs Predicted
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3University of Connecticut-0.62+0.46vs Predicted
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4Williams College-1.73+0.75vs Predicted
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5McGill University-0.46-1.58vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.08-0.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.96Brown University0.780.4%1st Place
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2.27Middlebury College0.430.3%1st Place
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3.46University of Connecticut-0.620.1%1st Place
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4.75Williams College-1.730.0%1st Place
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3.42McGill University-0.460.1%1st Place
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5.14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Case | 41.5% | 33.1% | 15.5% | 8.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Walter Chiles | 33.3% | 27.4% | 23.0% | 12.0% | 3.9% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Treat | 10.4% | 13.8% | 24.8% | 26.4% | 19.9% | 4.7% |
| Caleb Kohn | 2.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 17.0% | 32.0% | 35.1% |
| Eben Dooling | 10.7% | 16.2% | 23.4% | 26.7% | 16.3% | 6.7% |
| Maisey Jobson | 1.8% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 9.9% | 26.5% | 52.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.