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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Middlebury College0.43+1.33vs Predicted
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2Brown University0.78-0.09vs Predicted
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3University of Connecticut-0.62+0.48vs Predicted
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4McGill University-0.46-0.70vs Predicted
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5Williams College-1.73-0.16vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.08-0.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.33Middlebury College0.430.3%1st Place
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1.91Brown University0.780.5%1st Place
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3.48University of Connecticut-0.620.1%1st Place
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3.3McGill University-0.460.1%1st Place
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4.84Williams College-1.730.0%1st Place
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5.15University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walter Chiles | 28.0% | 32.7% | 22.9% | 12.1% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Charles Case | 46.3% | 27.1% | 18.3% | 6.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Treat | 10.4% | 15.3% | 20.4% | 29.5% | 19.0% | 5.4% |
| Eben Dooling | 11.2% | 16.5% | 25.7% | 27.6% | 15.6% | 3.4% |
| Caleb Kohn | 2.2% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 12.7% | 34.2% | 37.5% |
| Maisey Jobson | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 11.8% | 26.2% | 52.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.