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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+8.04vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.70+7.89vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.63+7.35vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+4.89vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+3.92vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.71+3.90vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida3.14+5.88vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.89+5.41vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin3.36+2.44vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.80-0.55vs Predicted
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11Brown University4.30-3.70vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.67-1.68vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.80-3.17vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University3.95-5.30vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College4.05-6.70vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-0.28vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy3.67-7.19vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University3.30-6.13vs Predicted
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19Boston College3.92-10.17vs Predicted
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20Salve Regina University2.54-4.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.04Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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9.89Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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10.35University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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8.89St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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8.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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9.9Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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12.88University of South Florida3.140.0%1st Place
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13.41Bowdoin College2.890.0%1st Place
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11.44University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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9.45Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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7.3Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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10.32Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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9.83Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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8.7Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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8.3Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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15.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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9.81U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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11.87Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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8.83Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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15.16Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnny Norfleet | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% |
| Massimo Soriano | 6.0% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Andrew Sommer | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% |
| David Harrison | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.6% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 10.8% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 3.1% |
| Hans Henken | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Tommy Fink | 9.9% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Emily Lambert | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% |
| William Macdonald | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Dylan Finneran | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 33.3% |
| Michael Grove | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% |
| William Bailey | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Robert Lippincott | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 15.2% | 23.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.