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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1McGill University-0.46+2.34vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College0.43+0.27vs Predicted
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3Brown University0.78-1.07vs Predicted
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4University of Connecticut-0.62-0.50vs Predicted
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5Williams College-1.73-0.18vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.08-0.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.34McGill University-0.460.1%1st Place
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2.27Middlebury College0.430.3%1st Place
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1.93Brown University0.780.4%1st Place
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3.5University of Connecticut-0.620.1%1st Place
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4.82Williams College-1.730.0%1st Place
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5.15University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eben Dooling | 11.1% | 17.0% | 24.9% | 26.4% | 15.1% | 5.5% |
| Walter Chiles | 31.8% | 30.4% | 21.4% | 12.1% | 3.8% | 0.5% |
| Charles Case | 42.5% | 32.9% | 16.1% | 6.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Treat | 9.9% | 12.6% | 23.7% | 30.2% | 18.7% | 4.9% |
| Caleb Kohn | 3.1% | 4.0% | 8.6% | 13.4% | 34.2% | 36.7% |
| Maisey Jobson | 1.6% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 11.1% | 26.9% | 52.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.