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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.82+1.42vs Predicted
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2McGill University-0.46+2.08vs Predicted
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3Brown University0.78-0.54vs Predicted
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4University of Connecticut-0.62+0.35vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College0.43-2.04vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.08+0.11vs Predicted
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7Williams College-1.73-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.42Fairfield University0.820.3%1st Place
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4.08McGill University-0.460.1%1st Place
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2.46Brown University0.780.3%1st Place
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4.35University of Connecticut-0.620.1%1st Place
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2.96Middlebury College0.430.2%1st Place
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6.11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.080.0%1st Place
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5.61Williams College-1.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Vitiello | 31.1% | 28.9% | 17.8% | 12.9% | 7.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Eben Dooling | 8.5% | 9.2% | 15.9% | 22.3% | 25.0% | 14.0% | 5.1% |
| Charles Case | 31.2% | 24.6% | 21.9% | 13.6% | 6.8% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Treat | 5.9% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 19.3% | 26.6% | 19.4% | 6.5% |
| Walter Chiles | 19.4% | 21.3% | 24.5% | 20.3% | 9.5% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Maisey Jobson | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 10.2% | 24.8% | 54.3% |
| Caleb Kohn | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 14.2% | 35.1% | 32.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.