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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Williams College-1.22+1.82vs Predicted
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2Brown University0.57-0.62vs Predicted
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3McGill University-1.50+0.01vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.55-0.90vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-3.65-0.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.82Williams College-1.220.1%1st Place
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1.38Brown University0.570.7%1st Place
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3.01McGill University-1.500.1%1st Place
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3.1University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.550.1%1st Place
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4.69Middlebury College-3.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rem Johannknecht | 12.9% | 27.6% | 30.0% | 23.7% | 5.8% |
| Quinn Brighton | 70.2% | 23.4% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Alex Anderson | 9.1% | 23.7% | 29.8% | 31.6% | 5.8% |
| Angelina Papa | 7.1% | 22.7% | 29.8% | 33.8% | 6.6% |
| Aric Duncan | 0.7% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 9.7% | 81.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.