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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Brown University0.57-0.63vs Predicted
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3McGill University-1.50+0.06vs Predicted
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4Williams College-1.22-1.23vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.55-1.91vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-3.65-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.37Brown University0.570.7%1st Place
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3.06McGill University-1.500.1%1st Place
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2.77Williams College-1.220.1%1st Place
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3.09University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.550.1%1st Place
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4.72Middlebury College-3.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinn Brighton | 71.3% | 22.1% | 5.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Alex Anderson | 8.5% | 22.1% | 30.7% | 32.4% | 6.3% |
| Rem Johannknecht | 12.2% | 30.7% | 29.0% | 24.3% | 3.8% |
| Angelina Papa | 7.3% | 23.5% | 29.5% | 32.4% | 7.3% |
| Aric Duncan | 0.7% | 1.6% | 5.6% | 9.6% | 82.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.