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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University0.57+0.36vs Predicted
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2Williams College-1.22+0.78vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.55+0.07vs Predicted
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4McGill University-1.50-0.93vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-3.65-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.36Brown University0.570.7%1st Place
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2.78Williams College-1.220.1%1st Place
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3.07University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.550.1%1st Place
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3.07McGill University-1.500.1%1st Place
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4.72Middlebury College-3.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinn Brighton | 73.1% | 19.3% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Rem Johannknecht | 10.3% | 31.2% | 32.3% | 22.7% | 3.5% |
| Angelina Papa | 8.3% | 22.9% | 28.2% | 34.9% | 5.7% |
| Alex Anderson | 7.6% | 24.8% | 28.2% | 31.8% | 7.6% |
| Aric Duncan | 0.7% | 1.8% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 83.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.