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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University0.57+0.48vs Predicted
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2Williams College-1.22+1.09vs Predicted
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3McGill University-1.50+0.40vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University-1.78-1.22vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.55-2.37vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-3.65-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.48Brown University0.570.7%1st Place
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3.09Williams College-1.220.1%1st Place
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3.4McGill University-1.500.1%1st Place
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3.78Fairfield University-1.780.1%1st Place
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3.63University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.550.1%1st Place
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5.61Middlebury College-3.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinn Brighton | 66.0% | 23.3% | 7.7% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Rem Johannknecht | 10.9% | 26.4% | 25.1% | 20.6% | 14.5% | 2.5% |
| Alex Anderson | 9.6% | 17.8% | 23.5% | 24.7% | 20.5% | 3.9% |
| Jack Mullaly | 6.1% | 13.8% | 19.3% | 23.6% | 30.8% | 6.4% |
| Angelina Papa | 6.8% | 16.5% | 22.0% | 23.2% | 24.5% | 7.0% |
| Aric Duncan | 0.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 80.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.