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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Wisconsin1.17+1.90vs Predicted
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3Hope College0.87+1.43vs Predicted
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4Washington University-0.08+3.04vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin-0.26+2.59vs Predicted
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6Northern Michigan University-0.44+2.18vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota-1.08+2.85vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-1.20+1.74vs Predicted
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9Marquette University-0.48-0.89vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University0.44-4.25vs Predicted
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11Texas A&M University0.11-4.33vs Predicted
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12University of Saint Thomas0.47-6.29vs Predicted
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13Grand Valley State University-3.10+0.15vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-2.14-2.17vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan1.53-11.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.9University of Wisconsin1.170.2%1st Place
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4.43Hope College0.870.1%1st Place
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7.04Washington University-0.080.1%1st Place
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7.59University of Wisconsin-0.260.0%1st Place
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8.18Northern Michigan University-0.440.0%1st Place
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9.85University of Minnesota-1.080.0%1st Place
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9.74Michigan State University-1.200.0%1st Place
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8.11Marquette University-0.480.0%1st Place
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5.75Northwestern University0.440.1%1st Place
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6.67Texas A&M University0.110.1%1st Place
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5.71University of Saint Thomas0.470.1%1st Place
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13.15Grand Valley State University-3.100.0%1st Place
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11.83Arizona State University-2.140.0%1st Place
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3.05University of Michigan1.530.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinn Kaiser | 16.3% | 20.7% | 14.9% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Nykamp | 13.4% | 15.0% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Wyatt Tait | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Nigel Yu | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Marco Constantini | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 5.3% | 0.5% |
| Hayden Johansen | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 19.4% | 16.3% | 3.7% |
| Ryan Dodge | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 10.8% | 14.7% | 19.3% | 15.2% | 3.9% |
| Brian Zettlemoyer | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 14.6% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 1.4% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Scott Mather | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Greg Bittle | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Bacheller | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 6.2% | 16.7% | 66.8% |
| Patrick Gardiner | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 8.8% | 15.8% | 34.2% | 22.8% |
| Lorenzo Puertas | 28.0% | 19.1% | 18.7% | 13.3% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.