Race 1A

vietor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Everett Botwinick 13.4% 12.0% 10.8% 10.4% 10.2% 8.1% 10.1% 7.9% 6.2% 5.1% 3.2% 1.9% 0.8%
Will Priebe 10.8% 10.8% 11.2% 10.9% 10.2% 9.2% 8.7% 8.3% 7.5% 5.3% 3.8% 2.9% 0.4%
Spencer Barnes 14.1% 12.3% 12.8% 10.4% 9.9% 8.6% 8.7% 7.4% 6.2% 4.2% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5%
Lars Osell 9.2% 7.4% 7.6% 9.7% 8.2% 9.2% 8.5% 8.8% 9.0% 8.2% 7.1% 4.8% 2.3%
Clark Morris 10.8% 11.6% 10.4% 9.8% 10.4% 10.4% 8.2% 8.6% 7.0% 5.5% 4.0% 2.3% 0.9%
Declan Botwinick 10.2% 10.5% 9.9% 10.8% 10.7% 10.3% 8.7% 7.9% 6.6% 6.2% 4.7% 2.9% 0.7%
Ted Sherman 2.3% 2.7% 4.0% 3.5% 5.2% 4.9% 4.8% 6.2% 7.5% 9.8% 11.2% 15.5% 22.4%
Peter McGonagle 5.8% 4.8% 5.8% 6.2% 6.5% 7.1% 7.2% 7.7% 10.3% 10.5% 10.1% 10.6% 7.3%
Ryan Potter 6.9% 7.3% 6.9% 6.4% 8.2% 8.1% 7.1% 8.1% 8.2% 8.2% 10.4% 8.3% 5.9%
Luke Hosek 6.9% 8.1% 8.4% 8.3% 7.3% 8.1% 9.6% 9.1% 7.0% 9.0% 7.6% 6.5% 4.0%
Fritz Baldauf 5.0% 5.5% 5.7% 5.6% 5.3% 6.9% 8.2% 7.7% 8.5% 10.0% 11.2% 10.4% 10.1%
Madison Suh 2.3% 3.4% 3.4% 4.0% 4.2% 4.2% 5.7% 6.2% 7.8% 8.5% 12.3% 17.2% 21.0%
Izzy Wu-Karr 2.5% 3.6% 3.2% 4.0% 3.6% 4.9% 4.5% 6.2% 8.1% 9.4% 11.1% 15.2% 23.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.