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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.72+1.38vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University-0.27+2.12vs Predicted
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3University of Saint Thomas-0.65+1.98vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University-0.46+0.58vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota-1.32+1.50vs Predicted
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6Hope College-0.77-0.81vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-1.09-2.12vs Predicted
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10Northern Michigan University-1.75-2.45vs Predicted
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11Washington University-2.19-2.33vs Predicted
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12Marquette University-2.12-3.57vs Predicted
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13Michigan State University-2.83-3.17vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-2.96-3.73vs Predicted
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15Grand Valley State University-5.09-2.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.38University of Wisconsin0.720.4%1st Place
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4.12Northwestern University-0.270.1%1st Place
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4.98University of Saint Thomas-0.650.1%1st Place
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4.58Texas A&M University-0.460.1%1st Place
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6.5University of Minnesota-1.320.1%1st Place
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5.19Hope College-0.770.1%1st Place
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5.88University of Michigan-1.090.1%1st Place
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7.55Northern Michigan University-1.750.0%1st Place
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8.67Washington University-2.190.0%1st Place
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8.43Marquette University-2.120.0%1st Place
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9.83Michigan State University-2.830.0%1st Place
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10.27Arizona State University-2.960.0%1st Place
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12.63Grand Valley State University-5.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Styslinger | 38.0% | 24.6% | 16.4% | 11.1% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Warfel | 13.5% | 14.8% | 17.8% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 8.2% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Kate Hennig | 11.1% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Isaac Sparber | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 5.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Henry | 8.5% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| John McCalmont | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ted Johnston | 3.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 13.1% | 10.0% | 5.2% | 0.1% |
| Alexandra Adams | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 16.7% | 18.6% | 12.6% | 1.3% |
| Benjamin Karle | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 16.9% | 14.9% | 10.5% | 1.6% |
| Lucia Sharp | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 21.8% | 25.7% | 5.0% |
| Viviane Carroll | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 12.0% | 18.9% | 36.1% | 6.6% |
| Lucy Herlein | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 7.0% | 85.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.