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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University-0.27+3.15vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.72+0.36vs Predicted
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3University of Saint Thomas-0.65+2.05vs Predicted
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4Hope College-0.77+1.31vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan-1.09+0.97vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota-1.32-0.50vs Predicted
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8Northern Michigan University-1.75-0.52vs Predicted
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10Michigan State University-2.83-0.14vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-2.96-0.85vs Predicted
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12Texas A&M University-0.46-7.47vs Predicted
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13Marquette University-2.12-4.71vs Predicted
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14Washington University-2.19-5.27vs Predicted
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15Grand Valley State University-5.09-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.15Northwestern University-0.270.1%1st Place
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2.36University of Wisconsin0.720.4%1st Place
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5.05University of Saint Thomas-0.650.1%1st Place
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5.31Hope College-0.770.1%1st Place
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5.97University of Michigan-1.090.1%1st Place
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6.5University of Minnesota-1.320.1%1st Place
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7.48Northern Michigan University-1.750.0%1st Place
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9.86Michigan State University-2.830.0%1st Place
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10.15Arizona State University-2.960.0%1st Place
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4.53Texas A&M University-0.460.1%1st Place
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8.29Marquette University-2.120.0%1st Place
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8.73Washington University-2.190.0%1st Place
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12.64Grand Valley State University-5.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Warfel | 13.2% | 15.5% | 14.8% | 15.5% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Styslinger | 38.1% | 27.3% | 14.1% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 7.9% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Henry | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| John McCalmont | 5.9% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Isaac Sparber | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Ted Johnston | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 14.0% | 10.4% | 4.6% | 0.5% |
| Lucia Sharp | 1.1% | 0.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 22.1% | 29.2% | 4.1% |
| Viviane Carroll | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 12.2% | 21.1% | 33.5% | 7.0% |
| Kate Hennig | 12.6% | 12.3% | 15.6% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Karle | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 16.1% | 15.7% | 8.9% | 0.8% |
| Alexandra Adams | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 16.9% | 17.2% | 13.5% | 1.8% |
| Lucy Herlein | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 7.0% | 85.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.