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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.79+1.71vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University-0.27+2.63vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.72-0.22vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-2.83+5.19vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-2.12+2.71vs Predicted
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7Hope College-0.77-1.34vs Predicted
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8Washington University-2.19+0.85vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University-0.46-4.04vs Predicted
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10University of Saint Thomas-0.65-4.52vs Predicted
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11Northern Michigan University-1.75-3.08vs Predicted
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12University of Minnesota-1.32-5.14vs Predicted
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13Grand Valley State University-5.09-0.34vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-2.45-5.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.71University of Michigan0.790.3%1st Place
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4.63Northwestern University-0.270.1%1st Place
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2.78University of Wisconsin0.720.3%1st Place
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10.19Michigan State University-2.830.0%1st Place
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8.71Marquette University-2.120.0%1st Place
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5.66Hope College-0.770.1%1st Place
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8.85Washington University-2.190.0%1st Place
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4.96Texas A&M University-0.460.1%1st Place
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5.48University of Saint Thomas-0.650.1%1st Place
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7.92Northern Michigan University-1.750.0%1st Place
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6.86University of Minnesota-1.320.0%1st Place
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12.66Grand Valley State University-5.090.0%1st Place
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9.6Arizona State University-2.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Rebain | 28.5% | 26.0% | 17.7% | 12.4% | 9.0% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Warfel | 9.6% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 15.7% | 15.2% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Styslinger | 28.1% | 23.9% | 19.1% | 12.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Sharp | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 12.9% | 18.6% | 33.7% | 6.5% |
| Benjamin Karle | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 18.4% | 17.5% | 12.0% | 1.2% |
| Caroline Henry | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Adams | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 20.6% | 13.9% | 1.7% |
| Kate Hennig | 8.4% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 15.7% | 12.3% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 7.8% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Ted Johnston | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 14.5% | 14.7% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 6.2% | 0.8% |
| Isaac Sparber | 3.1% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 14.7% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Herlein | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 6.7% | 86.3% |
| Mason Norwood | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 14.1% | 15.3% | 18.6% | 23.6% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.