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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University-0.27+3.63vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.79+0.69vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin0.72-1.20vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-2.12+3.78vs Predicted
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6University of Saint Thomas-0.65-0.61vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University-0.46-2.06vs Predicted
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9Hope College-0.77-3.39vs Predicted
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10University of Minnesota-1.32-3.13vs Predicted
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11Washington University-2.19-2.08vs Predicted
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12Northern Michigan University-1.75-4.09vs Predicted
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13Grand Valley State University-5.09-0.33vs Predicted
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14Michigan State University-2.83-3.77vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-2.45-5.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.63Northwestern University-0.270.1%1st Place
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2.69University of Michigan0.790.3%1st Place
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2.8University of Wisconsin0.720.3%1st Place
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8.78Marquette University-2.120.0%1st Place
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5.39University of Saint Thomas-0.650.1%1st Place
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4.94Texas A&M University-0.460.1%1st Place
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5.61Hope College-0.770.1%1st Place
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6.87University of Minnesota-1.320.0%1st Place
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8.92Washington University-2.190.0%1st Place
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7.91Northern Michigan University-1.750.0%1st Place
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12.67Grand Valley State University-5.090.0%1st Place
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10.23Michigan State University-2.830.0%1st Place
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9.58Arizona State University-2.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Warfel | 9.8% | 10.5% | 15.0% | 15.4% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Graham Rebain | 28.6% | 25.9% | 20.0% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Styslinger | 27.9% | 24.1% | 16.7% | 15.3% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Karle | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 16.7% | 17.9% | 11.6% | 1.8% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 7.1% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kate Hennig | 8.6% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Henry | 7.2% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Isaac Sparber | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Alexandra Adams | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 15.7% | 16.2% | 16.7% | 15.1% | 2.2% |
| Ted Johnston | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 14.7% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 6.5% | 0.8% |
| Lucy Herlein | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 8.2% | 85.2% |
| Lucia Sharp | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 20.4% | 33.9% | 6.4% |
| Mason Norwood | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 16.1% | 20.7% | 21.7% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.