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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.59+6.14vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.77+4.57vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36+5.11vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.10+1.63vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.64-1.11vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.03+3.62vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.05-1.32vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.44-0.27vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.09+0.36vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.59+0.88vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.43-2.94vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.10-2.90vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.60-1.89vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93-4.01vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.78-1.50vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.38-4.22vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.27-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.14Dartmouth College2.590.1%1st Place
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6.57Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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8.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
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5.63Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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3.89Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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9.62Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
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5.68Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.73Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
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9.36Bowdoin College2.090.0%1st Place
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10.88Connecticut College1.590.0%1st Place
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8.06Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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9.1University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
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11.11Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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9.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.0%1st Place
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13.5Salve Regina University0.780.0%1st Place
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11.78University of Vermont1.380.0%1st Place
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14.86Maine Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Decker | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Robert Ulmer | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 11.5% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Justin Callahan | 21.7% | 19.4% | 14.3% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| Blake Behrens | 10.4% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Busch | 7.2% | 4.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Skylor Sweet | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 4.6% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.0% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 1.1% |
| Porter Bell | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 6.4% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 1.7% |
| Jack Schneider | 0.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 20.9% | 24.9% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 8.4% |
| Finn Deprez | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 17.0% | 47.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.