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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.64+2.89vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.05+3.65vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.77+3.74vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.59+3.39vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36+3.02vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.44+2.07vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy0.27+7.71vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.10-2.46vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.43-0.93vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.03-0.70vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93-1.15vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.59-1.03vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.60-1.93vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.09-4.66vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.78-1.54vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.38-4.23vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.10-7.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.89Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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5.65Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.74Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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7.39Dartmouth College2.590.1%1st Place
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8.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
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8.07Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
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14.71Maine Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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5.54Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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8.07Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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9.3Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
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9.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.0%1st Place
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10.97Connecticut College1.590.0%1st Place
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11.07Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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9.34Bowdoin College2.090.0%1st Place
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13.46Salve Regina University0.780.0%1st Place
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11.77University of Vermont1.380.0%1st Place
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9.16University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 22.6% | 16.4% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Behrens | 10.9% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Chase Decker | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Robert Ulmer | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Peter Busch | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Finn Deprez | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 5.7% | 10.0% | 17.1% | 46.7% |
| Carlos de Castro | 12.7% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 1.2% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 2.4% |
| Skylor Sweet | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 5.7% |
| Porter Bell | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 6.0% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| Jack Schneider | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 12.2% | 20.6% | 24.2% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 8.4% |
| Tyler Nash | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.