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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.64+3.16vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.59+5.55vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.05+2.86vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.43+3.82vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.38+6.60vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.10-0.42vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.10+2.13vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.60+2.93vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.03+0.39vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.44-1.92vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.77-4.17vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.09-2.49vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36-4.99vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.59-3.28vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93-5.29vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.27-1.07vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University0.78-3.28vs Predicted
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18Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.83-0.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.16Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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7.55Dartmouth College2.590.1%1st Place
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5.86Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.82Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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11.6University of Vermont1.380.0%1st Place
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5.58Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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9.13University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
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10.93Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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9.39Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
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8.08Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
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6.83Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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9.51Bowdoin College2.090.0%1st Place
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8.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
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10.72Connecticut College1.590.0%1st Place
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9.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.0%1st Place
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14.93Maine Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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13.72Salve Regina University0.780.0%1st Place
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17.46Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 18.4% | 19.1% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chase Decker | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Blake Behrens | 10.8% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 8.0% | 1.2% |
| Carlos de Castro | 11.6% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Nash | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Porter Bell | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 4.6% | 0.7% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Peter Busch | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Robert Ulmer | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Skylor Sweet | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 0.7% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Finn Deprez | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 16.0% | 41.3% | 8.0% |
| Jack Schneider | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 13.4% | 19.3% | 24.3% | 3.4% |
| Owen Peterson | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 7.0% | 84.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.