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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College0.56+11.39vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.57+7.15vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.03+1.35vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.26+2.75vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.72+0.24vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90+2.19vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.77+1.48vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.74+3.85vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.74-0.24vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.48-4.06vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.57+1.65vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.42-5.72vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.30-6.22vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.25-0.37vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.38-5.05vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-7.41vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University0.07-2.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.39Connecticut College0.560.0%1st Place
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9.15Bowdoin College1.570.0%1st Place
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4.35Harvard University3.030.2%1st Place
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6.75Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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5.24Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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8.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.1%1st Place
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8.48Northeastern University1.770.1%1st Place
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11.85Boston University0.740.0%1st Place
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8.76Tufts University1.740.0%1st Place
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5.94Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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12.65University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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6.28Brown University2.420.1%1st Place
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6.78Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
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13.63Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
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9.95University of Rhode Island1.380.0%1st Place
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8.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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14.04Salve Regina University0.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rory Murray | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 11.4% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 15.4% |
| Ethan Danielson | 4.7% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 17.7% | 16.9% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| tanner krygsveld | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 13.4% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Kulas | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Hudson | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Peter Stewart | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 9.6% |
| Oliver Keeves | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 18.5% | 13.9% |
| Cam Spriggs | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Alistair Knoblauch | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 14.8% | 17.5% | 25.3% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 2.2% |
| Luke Zylinski | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Robert Heath | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 17.4% | 30.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.