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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.72+4.10vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.48+3.88vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+5.53vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90+4.10vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.03-0.71vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.57+3.48vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.74+1.60vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.26-1.39vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.30-2.22vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.38-0.20vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.42-4.67vs Predicted
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12Boston University0.74+0.05vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.56-0.33vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.77-5.39vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.07-1.09vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.57-3.33vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.25-3.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.1Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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5.88Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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8.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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8.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.1%1st Place
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4.29Harvard University3.030.2%1st Place
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9.48Bowdoin College1.570.0%1st Place
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8.6Tufts University1.740.0%1st Place
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6.61Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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6.78Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
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9.8University of Rhode Island1.380.0%1st Place
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6.33Brown University2.420.1%1st Place
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12.05Boston University0.740.0%1st Place
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12.67Connecticut College0.560.0%1st Place
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8.61Northeastern University1.770.0%1st Place
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13.91Salve Regina University0.070.0%1st Place
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12.67University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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13.59Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Satterberg | 14.0% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Zylinski | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| William Kulas | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 18.5% | 17.5% | 14.9% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Danielson | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Oliver Keeves | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| tanner krygsveld | 9.7% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| Cam Spriggs | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Peter Stewart | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 10.0% |
| Rory Murray | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 14.7% | 15.8% | 14.0% |
| Gavin Hudson | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Robert Heath | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 17.4% | 31.7% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 14.9% | 13.9% |
| Alistair Knoblauch | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 20.3% | 23.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.