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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.72+4.50vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.30+4.92vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90+5.31vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.26+2.72vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.57+4.24vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.48+0.09vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.77+1.62vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.42-1.78vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.03-4.63vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-1.11vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.84-2.52vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.74-2.95vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.07+0.97vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.56-1.50vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.74-2.81vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.57-3.11vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.25-3.23vs Predicted
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18Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.96-0.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.5Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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6.92Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
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8.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.1%1st Place
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6.72Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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9.24Bowdoin College1.570.0%1st Place
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6.09Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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8.62Northeastern University1.770.1%1st Place
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6.22Brown University2.420.1%1st Place
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4.37Harvard University3.030.2%1st Place
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8.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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8.48University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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9.05Tufts University1.740.0%1st Place
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13.97Salve Regina University0.070.0%1st Place
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12.5Connecticut College0.560.0%1st Place
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12.19Boston University0.740.0%1st Place
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12.89University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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13.77Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
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17.27Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Satterberg | 12.0% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Kulas | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| tanner krygsveld | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Danielson | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 9.1% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Hudson | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Cam Spriggs | 8.8% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 17.9% | 15.7% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Zylinski | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Owen Grainger | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Keeves | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Robert Heath | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 16.0% | 27.2% | 6.4% |
| Rory Murray | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 16.1% | 11.3% | 2.9% |
| Peter Stewart | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 10.3% | 1.5% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 2.7% |
| Alistair Knoblauch | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 17.3% | 23.8% | 5.3% |
| Matthew Stecko | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 7.1% | 80.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.