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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.67+9.12vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.80+7.51vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.71+7.10vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College4.05+4.34vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.51+5.85vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.89+3.15vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.67+3.46vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+0.88vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+0.13vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin3.36+1.59vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University4.31-3.66vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.92-2.81vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+3.13vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-5.13vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.89-1.41vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.70-6.10vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University2.54-2.03vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University3.30-6.02vs Predicted
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19Brown University4.30-11.82vs Predicted
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20University of South Florida3.14-7.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.12Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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9.51Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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10.1Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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8.34Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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10.85University of Vermont3.510.0%1st Place
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9.15Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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10.46U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
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8.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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9.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.0%1st Place
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11.59University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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7.34Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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9.19Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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16.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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8.87St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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13.59Bowdoin College2.890.0%1st Place
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9.9Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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14.97Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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11.98Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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7.18Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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12.74University of South Florida3.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Lambert | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% |
| Hans Henken | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Jordan Factor | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| Cam Cullman | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Michael Grove | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Andrew Sommer | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 3.6% |
| Sean Bouchard | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| William Bailey | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Dylan Finneran | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 16.7% | 34.1% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 12.0% |
| Massimo Soriano | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Robert Lippincott | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 15.1% | 21.1% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.1% |
| Tommy Fink | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| David Harrison | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.