Race 2A

vietor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Spencer Barnes 12.8% 13.4% 11.5% 11.0% 10.8% 10.4% 7.0% 7.5% 6.5% 4.1% 2.9% 1.6% 0.5%
Clark Morris 10.7% 12.7% 9.7% 11.3% 10.2% 9.6% 9.0% 8.2% 6.9% 5.0% 3.9% 1.9% 0.9%
Declan Botwinick 9.4% 10.4% 10.1% 9.8% 10.2% 9.4% 9.1% 9.1% 8.0% 6.6% 4.0% 2.6% 1.2%
Everett Botwinick 11.9% 11.3% 12.0% 11.8% 10.0% 9.3% 8.6% 7.3% 6.4% 5.2% 3.7% 1.6% 0.9%
Peter McGonagle 5.3% 5.1% 5.8% 5.8% 5.5% 7.3% 8.5% 8.2% 8.9% 9.8% 10.8% 10.3% 8.5%
Ryan Potter 6.9% 6.0% 7.8% 5.9% 7.0% 7.4% 7.8% 9.4% 10.0% 9.7% 9.3% 8.8% 4.2%
Fritz Baldauf 6.2% 4.5% 4.8% 6.1% 5.9% 7.4% 7.3% 6.8% 7.5% 9.7% 10.8% 13.3% 9.8%
Will Priebe 12.2% 10.8% 10.8% 11.0% 9.4% 9.3% 9.5% 8.3% 7.0% 5.4% 3.3% 2.4% 0.5%
Lars Osell 8.7% 7.8% 8.2% 8.3% 8.3% 9.2% 8.8% 9.8% 7.4% 8.2% 7.2% 5.2% 2.8%
Madison Suh 3.4% 3.5% 3.6% 3.8% 4.8% 3.9% 5.2% 5.9% 7.4% 9.9% 12.4% 14.6% 21.4%
Luke Hosek 6.2% 7.5% 7.6% 8.4% 8.6% 8.2% 8.8% 7.8% 9.4% 8.8% 8.5% 6.3% 3.9%
Izzy Wu-Karr 3.6% 3.4% 3.5% 2.8% 4.2% 4.0% 5.1% 6.1% 6.6% 8.8% 12.8% 14.8% 24.2%
Ted Sherman 2.7% 3.5% 4.4% 4.1% 5.0% 4.5% 5.3% 5.5% 8.0% 8.8% 10.3% 16.5% 21.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.