← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island1.75+6.81vs Predicted
-
2Bowdoin College1.49+6.86vs Predicted
-
3Yale University2.13+3.55vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University2.38+1.80vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62+3.29vs Predicted
-
6Northeastern University0.89+5.35vs Predicted
-
7Brown University2.64-2.08vs Predicted
-
8Harvard University2.37-2.28vs Predicted
-
9Boston College2.47-3.42vs Predicted
-
10Dartmouth College1.32-0.46vs Predicted
-
11Connecticut College1.23-1.00vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont1.13-1.77vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.31-3.25vs Predicted
-
14Maine Maritime Academy0.66-1.90vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University1.48-6.03vs Predicted
-
16Salve Regina University-0.20-1.48vs Predicted
-
17Boston University0.35-3.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.81University of Rhode Island1.750.1%1st Place
-
8.86Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
-
6.55Yale University2.130.1%1st Place
-
5.8Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
-
8.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.1%1st Place
-
11.35Northeastern University0.890.0%1st Place
-
4.92Brown University2.640.1%1st Place
-
5.72Harvard University2.370.1%1st Place
-
5.58Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
-
9.54Dartmouth College1.320.0%1st Place
-
10.0Connecticut College1.230.0%1st Place
-
10.23University of Vermont1.130.0%1st Place
-
9.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.310.0%1st Place
-
12.1Maine Maritime Academy0.660.0%1st Place
-
8.97Tufts University1.480.1%1st Place
-
14.52Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
-
13.01Boston University0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Grupenhoff | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Kyra Phelan | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Carly Kieding | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 12.0% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julia Conneely | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 0.9% |
| Charles Wilkinson | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 7.4% |
| Tyler Lamm | 13.8% | 14.2% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Strom | 12.1% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cody Roe | 10.6% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Turner Ryon | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 2.1% |
| William Hurd | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 3.0% |
| Cooper Smith | 3.5% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 4.2% |
| Ryan Hoffman | 3.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 2.7% |
| Toby Clarkson | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 14.9% | 12.4% |
| Courtland Doyle | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
| Sean Morrison | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 14.6% | 43.3% |
| Buck Rathbun | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 20.1% | 20.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.