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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.64+3.82vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.13+4.49vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.75+4.94vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.31+5.71vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.89+5.99vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.37-0.03vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.49+1.94vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62+0.32vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.23+1.17vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.38-4.28vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.47-5.44vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.13-1.75vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University-0.20+1.47vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College1.32-4.24vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.66-3.05vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.48-7.01vs Predicted
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17Boston University0.35-4.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.82Brown University2.640.2%1st Place
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6.49Yale University2.130.1%1st Place
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7.94University of Rhode Island1.750.1%1st Place
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9.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.310.0%1st Place
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10.99Northeastern University0.890.0%1st Place
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5.97Harvard University2.370.1%1st Place
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8.94Bowdoin College1.490.1%1st Place
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8.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.1%1st Place
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10.17Connecticut College1.230.0%1st Place
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5.72Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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5.56Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
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10.25University of Vermont1.130.0%1st Place
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14.47Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
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9.76Dartmouth College1.320.0%1st Place
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11.95Maine Maritime Academy0.660.0%1st Place
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8.99Tufts University1.480.0%1st Place
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12.97Boston University0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Lamm | 16.6% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carly Kieding | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Keith Grupenhoff | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Hoffman | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 2.8% |
| Charles Wilkinson | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 7.6% |
| Harrison Strom | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Phelan | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Julia Conneely | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| William Hurd | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 3.4% |
| Oliver Stokke | 10.9% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Cody Roe | 13.9% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Cooper Smith | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 3.6% |
| Sean Morrison | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 9.7% | 17.7% | 43.2% |
| Turner Ryon | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 2.6% |
| Toby Clarkson | 1.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 11.9% |
| Courtland Doyle | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Buck Rathbun | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 17.3% | 20.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.