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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23+1.19vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College0.37+2.43vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.01-0.60vs Predicted
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4Cornell University0.45+0.39vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.48-0.52vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.46-2.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.19Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.4%1st Place
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4.43SUNY Maritime College0.370.1%1st Place
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2.4Fordham University2.010.3%1st Place
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4.39Cornell University0.450.1%1st Place
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4.48U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.480.0%1st Place
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3.11University of Pennsylvania1.460.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Klempen | 37.0% | 29.4% | 18.2% | 9.8% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 5.3% | 8.1% | 13.0% | 16.6% | 25.7% | 31.3% |
| Lucas Thress | 30.0% | 27.4% | 22.4% | 14.1% | 5.0% | 1.1% |
| Matthew Schmitt | 6.7% | 6.8% | 11.9% | 20.1% | 24.8% | 29.7% |
| Calvin Marsh | 4.3% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 18.6% | 26.3% | 31.3% |
| Ian Fox | 16.7% | 19.6% | 23.7% | 20.8% | 14.1% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.