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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23+1.20vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.01+0.42vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College0.37+1.43vs Predicted
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4Cornell University0.45+0.38vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.48-0.54vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.46-2.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.3%1st Place
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2.42Fordham University2.010.3%1st Place
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4.43SUNY Maritime College0.370.1%1st Place
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4.38Cornell University0.450.1%1st Place
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4.46U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.480.0%1st Place
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3.1University of Pennsylvania1.460.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Klempen | 35.0% | 30.5% | 20.3% | 9.1% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Lucas Thress | 31.2% | 26.2% | 21.7% | 13.6% | 5.3% | 2.0% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 6.6% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 16.5% | 26.9% | 31.2% |
| Matthew Schmitt | 5.8% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 21.1% | 24.7% | 29.1% |
| Calvin Marsh | 4.8% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 18.7% | 25.1% | 31.8% |
| Ian Fox | 16.6% | 19.4% | 24.2% | 21.0% | 14.4% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.