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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23+1.20vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.01+0.40vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.46+0.05vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.48+0.35vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College0.37-0.45vs Predicted
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6Cornell University0.45-1.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.4%1st Place
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2.4Fordham University2.010.3%1st Place
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3.05University of Pennsylvania1.460.2%1st Place
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4.35U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.480.1%1st Place
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4.55SUNY Maritime College0.370.0%1st Place
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4.44Cornell University0.450.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Klempen | 35.4% | 30.9% | 19.7% | 8.3% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| Lucas Thress | 32.4% | 25.4% | 21.3% | 13.0% | 6.1% | 1.8% |
| Ian Fox | 16.4% | 20.3% | 24.9% | 22.2% | 12.4% | 3.8% |
| Calvin Marsh | 5.8% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 19.4% | 27.1% | 27.1% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 4.4% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 19.0% | 24.8% | 34.5% |
| Matthew Schmitt | 5.6% | 7.2% | 12.4% | 18.1% | 25.5% | 31.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.