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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23+1.21vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.01+0.41vs Predicted
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3Cornell University0.45+1.37vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.46-0.94vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.48-0.57vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College0.37-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.21Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.4%1st Place
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2.41Fordham University2.010.3%1st Place
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4.37Cornell University0.450.1%1st Place
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3.06University of Pennsylvania1.460.2%1st Place
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4.43U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.480.1%1st Place
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4.52SUNY Maritime College0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Klempen | 35.2% | 29.8% | 19.9% | 10.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Lucas Thress | 31.1% | 27.1% | 21.0% | 13.0% | 6.4% | 1.4% |
| Matthew Schmitt | 6.9% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 18.6% | 26.8% | 28.6% |
| Ian Fox | 16.5% | 19.5% | 25.9% | 21.3% | 12.9% | 3.9% |
| Calvin Marsh | 5.5% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 19.2% | 25.6% | 30.7% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 4.8% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 17.4% | 25.3% | 33.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.