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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23+1.19vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.01+0.40vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.46+0.06vs Predicted
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4Cornell University0.45+0.38vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.48-0.57vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College0.37-1.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.19Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.4%1st Place
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2.4Fordham University2.010.3%1st Place
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3.06University of Pennsylvania1.460.2%1st Place
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4.38Cornell University0.450.1%1st Place
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4.43U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.480.1%1st Place
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4.54SUNY Maritime College0.370.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Klempen | 35.4% | 31.2% | 19.6% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Lucas Thress | 32.3% | 25.6% | 21.6% | 12.8% | 6.1% | 1.6% |
| Ian Fox | 16.3% | 20.8% | 24.0% | 22.3% | 12.9% | 3.7% |
| Matthew Schmitt | 5.8% | 7.7% | 12.2% | 19.1% | 27.0% | 28.2% |
| Calvin Marsh | 5.0% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 20.3% | 24.8% | 30.6% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 5.2% | 6.4% | 11.6% | 17.1% | 25.3% | 34.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.