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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.48+3.40vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.01+0.45vs Predicted
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3Cornell University0.63+1.18vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23-1.81vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.46-1.79vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College0.37-1.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.480.1%1st Place
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2.45Fordham University2.010.3%1st Place
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4.18Cornell University0.630.1%1st Place
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2.19Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.4%1st Place
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3.21University of Pennsylvania1.460.2%1st Place
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4.56SUNY Maritime College0.370.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvin Marsh | 5.8% | 7.9% | 12.6% | 18.9% | 23.7% | 31.1% |
| Lucas Thress | 29.6% | 28.2% | 20.1% | 13.6% | 6.9% | 1.6% |
| Marcus Greco | 7.9% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 19.9% | 27.1% | 23.1% |
| JJ Klempen | 35.2% | 30.2% | 20.1% | 10.1% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Ian Fox | 16.3% | 18.1% | 23.7% | 20.4% | 12.8% | 8.7% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 5.2% | 6.1% | 11.0% | 17.1% | 26.1% | 34.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.