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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23+1.22vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.01+0.43vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.46+0.10vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.48+0.40vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College0.37-0.39vs Predicted
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6Cornell University0.63-1.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.3%1st Place
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2.43Fordham University2.010.3%1st Place
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3.1University of Pennsylvania1.460.2%1st Place
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4.4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.480.1%1st Place
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4.61SUNY Maritime College0.370.0%1st Place
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4.24Cornell University0.630.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Klempen | 34.9% | 30.1% | 20.6% | 8.5% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Lucas Thress | 32.0% | 25.1% | 20.9% | 13.6% | 6.3% | 2.1% |
| Ian Fox | 16.1% | 20.0% | 24.2% | 21.9% | 13.5% | 4.3% |
| Calvin Marsh | 5.7% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 18.2% | 27.0% | 29.2% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 4.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 17.0% | 24.6% | 37.1% |
| Marcus Greco | 7.1% | 8.5% | 13.6% | 20.8% | 24.3% | 25.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.