Race 3A

vietor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Peter McGonagle 5.4% 4.9% 5.1% 5.8% 7.2% 7.5% 7.6% 7.4% 10.0% 9.7% 11.9% 10.0% 7.6%
Everett Botwinick 12.5% 13.5% 12.5% 11.8% 10.4% 8.3% 7.5% 7.0% 6.2% 5.1% 2.9% 1.7% 0.4%
Will Priebe 11.6% 11.3% 10.5% 10.8% 10.1% 9.4% 9.0% 8.0% 6.1% 6.2% 3.8% 2.1% 1.0%
Clark Morris 11.7% 12.2% 11.8% 10.8% 10.0% 9.2% 9.3% 6.9% 5.5% 5.2% 3.7% 3.0% 0.6%
Spencer Barnes 12.8% 13.4% 13.8% 10.5% 10.8% 9.2% 8.6% 6.7% 5.9% 3.8% 2.6% 1.3% 0.4%
Lars Osell 7.7% 7.5% 8.6% 8.7% 8.6% 9.0% 8.9% 9.2% 9.0% 7.4% 6.9% 5.5% 2.9%
Declan Botwinick 10.3% 10.6% 9.3% 10.1% 9.4% 9.2% 9.2% 8.8% 7.9% 6.6% 3.6% 3.4% 1.4%
Ryan Potter 5.9% 5.5% 6.9% 6.8% 7.7% 6.5% 8.0% 9.8% 9.4% 11.1% 9.7% 8.1% 5.0%
Luke Hosek 7.7% 6.6% 7.2% 7.4% 8.2% 9.7% 8.1% 9.2% 9.1% 8.8% 8.1% 6.2% 3.6%
Madison Suh 2.9% 3.5% 2.9% 3.8% 3.8% 5.1% 5.5% 6.3% 6.8% 8.6% 12.8% 15.8% 22.4%
Ted Sherman 3.8% 3.3% 3.6% 4.2% 3.8% 4.8% 4.9% 6.0% 7.1% 9.0% 11.2% 17.0% 21.3%
Fritz Baldauf 5.4% 5.7% 4.5% 6.3% 5.6% 7.2% 7.8% 7.1% 9.6% 9.7% 10.8% 10.8% 9.6%
Izzy Wu-Karr 2.4% 2.2% 3.2% 2.9% 4.2% 4.9% 5.5% 7.5% 7.2% 8.9% 11.9% 15.3% 23.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.