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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.70+9.05vs Predicted
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2Brown University4.30+5.34vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.54+12.15vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.80+5.67vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.67+5.19vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.89+3.28vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+2.51vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+7.76vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University4.31-1.85vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.67+0.21vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University3.70-0.79vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-2.68vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.89+1.13vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.92-4.97vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont3.51-4.06vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin3.36-4.38vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College3.71-7.17vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-8.63vs Predicted
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19Dartmouth College4.05-10.58vs Predicted
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20University of South Florida3.14-7.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.05Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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7.34Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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15.15Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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9.67Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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10.19U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
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9.28Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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9.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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15.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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7.15Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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10.21Harvard University3.670.0%1st Place
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10.21Old Dominion University3.700.1%1st Place
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9.32St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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14.13Bowdoin College2.890.0%1st Place
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9.03Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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10.94University of Vermont3.510.0%1st Place
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11.62University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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9.83Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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9.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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8.42Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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12.8University of South Florida3.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Massimo Soriano | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Tommy Fink | 10.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Robert Lippincott | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 10.7% | 15.8% | 24.1% |
| Hans Henken | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Michael Grove | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Cam Cullman | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Andrew Sommer | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Dylan Finneran | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 17.1% | 29.7% |
| Sean Bouchard | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emily Lambert | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% |
| Brady Stagg | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 1.4% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 14.7% |
| William Bailey | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Jordan Factor | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 1.3% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% |
| Matthew Wefer | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| David Harrison | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.