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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23+1.21vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.01+0.43vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.46+0.10vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.48+0.40vs Predicted
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5Cornell University0.63-0.72vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College0.37-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.21Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.3%1st Place
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2.43Fordham University2.010.3%1st Place
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3.1University of Pennsylvania1.460.2%1st Place
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4.4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.480.1%1st Place
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4.28Cornell University0.630.1%1st Place
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4.59SUNY Maritime College0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Klempen | 35.0% | 30.8% | 19.8% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| Lucas Thress | 32.1% | 25.2% | 21.0% | 13.3% | 6.6% | 1.8% |
| Ian Fox | 16.0% | 20.0% | 23.9% | 22.3% | 13.7% | 4.1% |
| Calvin Marsh | 5.9% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 18.7% | 26.5% | 29.2% |
| Marcus Greco | 6.2% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 20.7% | 24.5% | 26.8% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 4.8% | 6.8% | 11.0% | 16.3% | 24.6% | 36.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.