← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23+1.24vs Predicted
-
2Fordham University2.01+0.44vs Predicted
-
3SUNY Maritime College0.37+1.49vs Predicted
-
4University of Pennsylvania1.46-0.90vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.48-0.52vs Predicted
-
6Cornell University0.63-1.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.24Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.3%1st Place
-
2.44Fordham University2.010.3%1st Place
-
4.49SUNY Maritime College0.370.1%1st Place
-
3.1University of Pennsylvania1.460.2%1st Place
-
4.48U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.480.1%1st Place
-
4.24Cornell University0.630.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Klempen | 34.4% | 29.5% | 20.3% | 10.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Lucas Thress | 30.8% | 26.2% | 21.2% | 13.3% | 6.8% | 1.7% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 16.4% | 26.6% | 33.2% |
| Ian Fox | 16.3% | 18.8% | 25.8% | 20.5% | 14.5% | 4.1% |
| Calvin Marsh | 5.5% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 18.0% | 24.8% | 33.2% |
| Marcus Greco | 6.6% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 21.0% | 24.1% | 26.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.