← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Pennsylvania1.46+2.16vs Predicted
-
2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23+0.18vs Predicted
-
3Fordham University2.01-0.60vs Predicted
-
4Cornell University0.63+0.19vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.48-0.51vs Predicted
-
6SUNY Maritime College0.37-1.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.16University of Pennsylvania1.460.2%1st Place
-
2.18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.4%1st Place
-
2.4Fordham University2.010.3%1st Place
-
4.19Cornell University0.630.1%1st Place
-
4.49U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.480.1%1st Place
-
4.58SUNY Maritime College0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Fox | 15.4% | 20.6% | 23.1% | 21.3% | 12.7% | 6.9% |
| JJ Klempen | 38.1% | 27.4% | 19.2% | 10.1% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| Lucas Thress | 29.3% | 29.1% | 21.2% | 14.3% | 4.9% | 1.2% |
| Marcus Greco | 7.4% | 8.5% | 15.0% | 18.5% | 27.9% | 22.7% |
| Calvin Marsh | 5.4% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 19.4% | 24.6% | 32.6% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 4.4% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 16.4% | 25.7% | 35.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.