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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23+1.21vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.48+2.35vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.46+0.12vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.01-1.58vs Predicted
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5Cornell University0.63-0.70vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College0.37-1.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.21Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.4%1st Place
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4.35U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.480.1%1st Place
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3.12University of Pennsylvania1.460.2%1st Place
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2.42Fordham University2.010.3%1st Place
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4.3Cornell University0.630.1%1st Place
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4.6SUNY Maritime College0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Klempen | 37.4% | 28.7% | 17.3% | 10.5% | 4.6% | 1.5% |
| Calvin Marsh | 6.0% | 8.1% | 13.6% | 17.7% | 26.0% | 28.6% |
| Ian Fox | 16.3% | 19.9% | 23.4% | 21.1% | 14.5% | 4.8% |
| Lucas Thress | 29.6% | 26.9% | 23.0% | 14.3% | 5.2% | 1.0% |
| Marcus Greco | 6.4% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 19.9% | 25.3% | 27.1% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 4.3% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 16.5% | 24.4% | 37.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.