Race 1A

john-quinn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Michael Burns 28.3% 27.1% 18.6% 12.1% 7.6% 4.1% 1.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Logan Mraz 40.6% 29.8% 17.6% 7.3% 3.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Pfeffer 2.1% 3.2% 4.4% 6.4% 8.2% 8.6% 12.6% 18.2% 23.9% 12.4%
Benjamin Koly 1.7% 4.4% 4.9% 8.8% 10.5% 12.7% 14.8% 17.0% 17.1% 8.1%
Griffin Jones 6.0% 7.2% 10.1% 12.5% 13.3% 15.4% 14.8% 11.0% 7.1% 2.6%
Oscar Gilroy 8.3% 9.6% 14.8% 15.8% 16.1% 13.5% 10.9% 7.7% 2.6% 0.7%
Austin Latimer 5.8% 9.0% 13.7% 15.8% 15.5% 16.2% 11.2% 7.3% 4.5% 1.0%
Andrew Martin 4.0% 5.7% 9.1% 12.4% 11.8% 13.6% 16.4% 13.2% 11.0% 2.8%
John Tonzola 2.5% 3.6% 5.9% 6.3% 10.2% 12.1% 13.1% 18.1% 19.0% 9.2%
Julia Marich 0.7% 0.4% 0.9% 2.6% 3.4% 2.8% 4.1% 7.2% 14.7% 63.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.