Race 2A

john-quinn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Logan Mraz 43.7% 27.1% 14.5% 7.8% 4.5% 1.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Burns 25.3% 27.6% 21.3% 13.1% 7.5% 3.2% 1.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Alexander Pfeffer 2.0% 3.7% 4.7% 6.5% 6.4% 8.6% 14.2% 16.6% 24.7% 12.6%
Oscar Gilroy 6.2% 10.8% 15.7% 17.5% 14.1% 14.7% 9.6% 7.8% 3.3% 0.3%
Austin Latimer 7.7% 9.1% 12.6% 14.0% 16.3% 14.9% 11.8% 8.1% 4.4% 1.1%
Griffin Jones 6.1% 7.3% 10.2% 12.4% 14.6% 13.9% 14.6% 10.6% 7.5% 2.8%
Andrew Martin 3.6% 5.2% 9.1% 11.6% 13.6% 15.6% 13.3% 16.0% 8.4% 3.6%
Benjamin Koly 2.6% 4.1% 6.2% 8.6% 9.6% 11.4% 16.0% 15.4% 18.6% 7.5%
John Tonzola 2.3% 4.3% 4.6% 6.4% 10.6% 13.2% 12.8% 18.1% 18.5% 9.2%
Julia Marich 0.5% 0.8% 1.1% 2.1% 2.8% 2.9% 5.3% 7.1% 14.5% 62.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.