Race 3A

john-quinn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Oscar Gilroy 8.7% 10.3% 15.7% 15.0% 14.2% 14.4% 10.8% 6.3% 3.8% 0.8%
Michael Burns 25.0% 28.3% 20.5% 13.3% 8.2% 3.0% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1%
Logan Mraz 40.8% 29.5% 16.1% 9.0% 3.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
John Tonzola 2.2% 3.4% 4.6% 7.0% 10.1% 11.2% 16.4% 17.2% 19.6% 8.3%
Austin Latimer 7.4% 9.4% 12.2% 13.4% 16.3% 15.8% 11.6% 7.7% 4.7% 1.5%
Griffin Jones 7.1% 6.3% 9.1% 13.7% 14.8% 13.5% 13.8% 11.8% 7.6% 2.3%
Andrew Martin 3.2% 4.9% 9.6% 12.5% 11.9% 14.3% 17.2% 11.8% 10.9% 3.7%
Alexander Pfeffer 1.7% 3.3% 5.9% 6.4% 8.4% 10.0% 11.8% 17.7% 22.3% 12.5%
Benjamin Koly 3.3% 3.8% 5.3% 7.5% 10.0% 13.7% 12.5% 19.5% 15.9% 8.5%
Julia Marich 0.6% 0.8% 1.0% 2.2% 2.7% 3.2% 4.2% 7.8% 15.2% 62.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.