Race 4A

john-quinn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Logan Mraz 43.7% 28.2% 13.2% 8.8% 3.7% 1.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Burns 25.7% 28.4% 20.0% 14.0% 7.2% 3.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Austin Latimer 7.2% 8.0% 12.9% 13.9% 16.1% 15.4% 10.9% 10.1% 4.7% 0.8%
Griffin Jones 3.7% 6.9% 11.7% 13.6% 14.0% 14.8% 14.1% 11.9% 7.5% 1.8%
Benjamin Koly 3.5% 3.6% 6.8% 7.3% 9.5% 11.2% 14.3% 16.9% 19.7% 7.2%
Alexander Pfeffer 2.9% 3.2% 5.0% 5.2% 8.2% 10.9% 13.9% 15.0% 22.0% 13.7%
John Tonzola 1.9% 3.3% 5.7% 7.5% 8.2% 13.7% 15.4% 16.9% 18.8% 8.6%
Andrew Martin 4.0% 6.0% 9.6% 11.1% 12.7% 13.3% 15.6% 13.2% 11.3% 3.2%
Oscar Gilroy 6.9% 11.6% 14.3% 16.0% 17.7% 12.4% 9.6% 7.8% 2.8% 0.9%
Julia Marich 0.5% 0.8% 0.8% 2.6% 2.7% 3.3% 4.5% 7.8% 13.2% 63.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.