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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University0.94+0.76vs Predicted
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3Washington College-0.87+1.58vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.73+0.14vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.13-0.20vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University-1.33-0.89vs Predicted
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7Drexel University-1.96-0.62vs Predicted
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8Washington College-0.80-3.78vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-1.73-3.09vs Predicted
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10Monmouth University-3.23-1.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.76Princeton University0.940.5%1st Place
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4.58Washington College-0.870.1%1st Place
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4.14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.730.1%1st Place
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4.8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.130.1%1st Place
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5.11Rutgers University-1.330.1%1st Place
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6.38Drexel University-1.960.0%1st Place
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4.22Washington College-0.800.1%1st Place
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5.91University of Delaware-1.730.0%1st Place
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8.1Monmouth University-3.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Mraz | 54.3% | 27.3% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Latimer | 5.8% | 11.4% | 16.4% | 16.8% | 15.8% | 14.3% | 10.8% | 6.1% | 2.6% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 9.3% | 16.5% | 15.3% | 16.1% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 9.4% | 4.5% | 0.4% |
| Griffin Jones | 7.4% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 15.1% | 14.7% | 13.5% | 9.6% | 2.5% |
| Andrew Martin | 5.9% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 15.5% | 10.7% | 5.8% |
| Alexander Pfeffer | 3.0% | 3.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 18.2% | 28.1% | 12.3% |
| Imogene Nuss | 9.1% | 14.3% | 16.1% | 17.2% | 15.8% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 1.0% |
| Benjamin Koly | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 15.4% | 16.9% | 21.6% | 9.3% |
| Julia Marich | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 14.1% | 66.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.