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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Princeton University0.94-0.25vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.13+2.05vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.73+0.15vs Predicted
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5Washington College-0.87-0.73vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University-1.33-0.91vs Predicted
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7Drexel University-1.96-0.63vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-1.73-2.00vs Predicted
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9Monmouth University-3.23-0.89vs Predicted
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10Washington College-0.80-5.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.75Princeton University0.940.6%1st Place
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5.05U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.130.0%1st Place
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4.15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.730.1%1st Place
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4.27Washington College-0.870.1%1st Place
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5.09Rutgers University-1.330.1%1st Place
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6.37Drexel University-1.960.0%1st Place
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6.0University of Delaware-1.730.0%1st Place
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8.11Monmouth University-3.230.0%1st Place
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4.21Washington College-0.800.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Mraz | 55.5% | 25.1% | 11.5% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Jones | 4.0% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 14.0% | 16.2% | 16.1% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 3.6% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 8.8% | 16.5% | 15.6% | 17.3% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 4.7% | 0.4% |
| Austin Latimer | 8.8% | 14.2% | 17.0% | 15.6% | 15.2% | 12.5% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 1.3% |
| Andrew Martin | 5.7% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 16.5% | 11.9% | 4.7% |
| Alexander Pfeffer | 3.0% | 3.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 17.2% | 26.5% | 13.9% |
| Benjamin Koly | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 15.7% | 17.5% | 22.0% | 9.0% |
| Julia Marich | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 14.2% | 66.1% |
| Imogene Nuss | 9.5% | 14.0% | 16.7% | 15.0% | 15.9% | 14.4% | 9.4% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.