Race 4A

vietor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Will Priebe 11.4% 11.2% 10.8% 11.4% 10.3% 9.6% 9.2% 6.6% 6.6% 5.4% 4.5% 2.4% 0.8%
Spencer Barnes 14.6% 13.1% 11.7% 10.3% 9.3% 9.1% 8.3% 7.2% 5.7% 5.6% 2.5% 2.1% 0.5%
Everett Botwinick 10.7% 12.5% 11.8% 11.6% 10.0% 8.8% 9.2% 8.2% 6.8% 4.3% 3.2% 2.1% 0.7%
Declan Botwinick 10.8% 9.3% 9.5% 10.2% 9.4% 8.1% 10.0% 8.9% 8.4% 6.1% 4.3% 3.3% 1.5%
Clark Morris 12.4% 11.2% 11.3% 10.1% 9.8% 9.6% 8.7% 7.7% 6.5% 5.8% 3.8% 2.1% 1.1%
Peter McGonagle 5.2% 6.6% 5.3% 5.5% 7.1% 7.6% 7.5% 8.6% 9.5% 9.3% 10.4% 9.7% 7.4%
Fritz Baldauf 4.2% 5.1% 5.8% 5.5% 6.1% 7.3% 7.6% 8.2% 9.3% 8.4% 12.0% 11.2% 9.3%
Ryan Potter 7.0% 5.6% 6.0% 7.1% 7.0% 7.8% 8.6% 8.0% 8.9% 9.6% 10.2% 9.2% 5.1%
Luke Hosek 6.7% 7.2% 8.1% 8.8% 8.3% 8.5% 8.0% 8.1% 9.0% 8.7% 8.8% 6.2% 3.6%
Lars Osell 7.5% 9.2% 9.1% 8.1% 9.3% 7.8% 8.7% 9.4% 8.1% 8.6% 6.9% 4.7% 2.6%
Madison Suh 3.5% 3.8% 3.9% 3.4% 3.7% 6.2% 4.3% 6.3% 8.2% 8.8% 10.8% 16.9% 20.3%
Ted Sherman 3.1% 2.2% 2.9% 4.2% 4.4% 5.2% 5.0% 7.2% 7.3% 10.1% 10.9% 15.0% 22.3%
Izzy Wu-Karr 2.8% 2.9% 3.8% 3.8% 5.0% 4.5% 4.9% 5.5% 5.8% 9.4% 11.7% 15.2% 24.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.