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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University0.94+0.68vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.73+2.02vs Predicted
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3Drexel University-1.96+3.22vs Predicted
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4Rutgers University-1.33+0.86vs Predicted
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5Washington College-0.87-0.95vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.13-2.41vs Predicted
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8Washington College-1.79-2.12vs Predicted
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9Monmouth University-3.23-1.01vs Predicted
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10University of Delaware-1.73-4.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.68Princeton University0.940.6%1st Place
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4.02U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.730.1%1st Place
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6.22Drexel University-1.960.0%1st Place
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4.86Rutgers University-1.330.1%1st Place
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4.05Washington College-0.870.1%1st Place
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4.59U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.130.1%1st Place
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5.88Washington College-1.790.0%1st Place
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7.99Monmouth University-3.230.0%1st Place
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5.72University of Delaware-1.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Mraz | 58.8% | 23.6% | 11.3% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 7.3% | 18.1% | 17.9% | 18.9% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 7.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Alexander Pfeffer | 2.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 16.1% | 26.7% | 11.0% |
| Andrew Martin | 5.5% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 15.9% | 16.3% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 3.0% |
| Austin Latimer | 10.5% | 17.4% | 19.7% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 5.0% | 1.6% |
| Griffin Jones | 7.3% | 10.7% | 14.8% | 15.5% | 16.9% | 14.7% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 1.8% |
| John Tonzola | 3.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 15.7% | 19.8% | 17.7% | 8.8% |
| Julia Marich | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 13.2% | 63.8% |
| Benjamin Koly | 3.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 15.8% | 17.0% | 16.9% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.