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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.73+2.91vs Predicted
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3Washington College-0.87+1.31vs Predicted
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4Princeton University0.94-2.31vs Predicted
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5Washington College-1.79+0.75vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-1.96+0.01vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-1.73-1.28vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University-1.33-2.99vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.13-4.38vs Predicted
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10Monmouth University-3.23-2.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.91U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.730.1%1st Place
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4.31Washington College-0.870.1%1st Place
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1.69Princeton University0.940.6%1st Place
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5.75Washington College-1.790.0%1st Place
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6.01Drexel University-1.960.0%1st Place
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5.72University of Delaware-1.730.0%1st Place
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5.01Rutgers University-1.330.1%1st Place
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4.62U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.130.1%1st Place
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7.97Monmouth University-3.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oscar Gilroy | 10.4% | 18.3% | 16.5% | 17.4% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 0.3% |
| Austin Latimer | 7.5% | 14.1% | 17.3% | 17.3% | 15.4% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 5.0% | 2.5% |
| Logan Mraz | 56.5% | 26.9% | 10.3% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Tonzola | 3.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 15.8% | 19.9% | 8.1% |
| Alexander Pfeffer | 2.8% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 15.9% | 20.4% | 13.0% |
| Benjamin Koly | 3.8% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 18.7% | 17.7% | 7.4% |
| Andrew Martin | 6.4% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 15.9% | 16.4% | 14.3% | 10.6% | 3.0% |
| Griffin Jones | 7.7% | 11.5% | 15.8% | 13.6% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 2.6% |
| Julia Marich | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 14.3% | 63.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.