Race 1B

john-quinn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Charlotte Shaw 7.5% 8.3% 11.1% 12.6% 14.7% 13.6% 12.7% 9.7% 6.9% 2.9%
Jonathan Wittick 37.0% 27.0% 18.0% 10.3% 4.8% 1.9% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cooper Bennett 3.1% 4.1% 4.7% 7.0% 8.6% 10.9% 13.7% 18.0% 16.3% 13.6%
Alexander Salzberg 22.4% 24.9% 20.4% 14.8% 9.3% 5.1% 1.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Matthew McCarvill 7.9% 8.6% 10.1% 13.5% 15.7% 15.8% 11.7% 8.1% 6.3% 2.3%
Benjamin Mohrman 11.9% 14.3% 17.0% 17.0% 14.5% 12.6% 8.0% 2.5% 1.7% 0.5%
John Morgan Griffith 1.5% 1.9% 2.0% 4.1% 6.3% 8.0% 8.8% 15.3% 21.6% 30.5%
George Wood 3.5% 4.9% 6.4% 8.9% 10.8% 11.5% 16.3% 15.8% 13.2% 8.7%
Tyler Needham 3.4% 3.9% 5.9% 7.0% 9.8% 11.7% 14.1% 16.1% 16.1% 12.0%
Joseph Arrigo 1.8% 2.1% 4.4% 4.8% 5.5% 8.9% 11.9% 13.4% 17.7% 29.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.