Race 2B

john-quinn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Alexander Salzberg 25.7% 24.9% 18.0% 13.1% 9.8% 4.6% 2.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
Charlotte Shaw 7.3% 6.9% 11.1% 12.0% 15.2% 14.3% 13.4% 10.4% 7.0% 2.4%
Jonathan Wittick 35.8% 26.1% 18.9% 11.9% 3.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Mohrman 10.9% 14.8% 16.9% 18.0% 15.7% 10.2% 7.0% 4.7% 1.5% 0.3%
Cooper Bennett 3.1% 5.5% 5.2% 7.4% 8.3% 10.8% 14.9% 15.0% 16.8% 13.0%
Matthew McCarvill 7.9% 8.9% 11.2% 13.0% 15.1% 13.8% 13.2% 9.8% 5.3% 1.8%
John Morgan Griffith 1.8% 1.3% 2.0% 3.8% 6.2% 8.9% 10.9% 12.3% 20.8% 32.0%
Tyler Needham 2.3% 5.1% 5.7% 8.5% 9.4% 12.2% 13.0% 16.7% 16.1% 11.0%
Joseph Arrigo 1.9% 2.2% 3.8% 4.1% 6.7% 9.3% 10.0% 14.1% 18.9% 29.0%
George Wood 3.3% 4.3% 7.2% 8.2% 9.7% 13.5% 14.8% 15.3% 13.3% 10.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.