Race 3B

john-quinn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Alexander Salzberg 24.7% 24.8% 16.8% 14.6% 9.2% 5.3% 3.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.1%
Jonathan Wittick 36.5% 25.5% 20.1% 9.5% 5.1% 2.1% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Mohrman 12.0% 12.8% 14.9% 17.4% 15.1% 11.5% 9.8% 4.0% 1.9% 0.6%
Matthew McCarvill 5.2% 8.8% 12.3% 12.4% 13.4% 15.1% 12.1% 10.5% 7.0% 3.2%
Charlotte Shaw 7.4% 8.5% 8.8% 11.1% 15.2% 14.4% 14.3% 9.9% 7.0% 3.4%
Alexandros Chalvatzakis 4.1% 4.8% 6.8% 6.4% 8.8% 12.1% 13.8% 14.6% 15.3% 13.3%
Joseph Arrigo 1.5% 2.0% 2.6% 4.9% 5.4% 7.5% 10.5% 13.0% 19.7% 32.9%
Tyler Needham 2.6% 4.4% 5.6% 7.8% 8.7% 11.5% 11.6% 16.4% 17.5% 13.9%
George Wood 3.5% 4.2% 7.0% 8.6% 10.1% 11.6% 10.5% 15.7% 15.8% 13.0%
Cooper Bennett 2.5% 4.2% 5.1% 7.3% 9.0% 8.9% 13.2% 14.9% 15.3% 19.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.