Race 4B

john-quinn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Alexander Salzberg 24.2% 25.5% 16.7% 13.1% 10.4% 5.3% 2.8% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Jonathan Wittick 36.3% 26.4% 18.8% 9.4% 5.7% 2.5% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexandros Chalvatzakis 3.4% 4.3% 5.9% 7.6% 7.5% 11.4% 13.6% 15.5% 16.7% 14.1%
Benjamin Mohrman 10.3% 14.6% 15.9% 18.3% 15.0% 11.4% 7.0% 5.1% 1.9% 0.5%
Charlotte Shaw 7.6% 7.7% 9.5% 12.5% 13.0% 15.4% 14.8% 9.2% 6.5% 3.8%
Tyler Needham 4.0% 4.0% 5.1% 7.6% 8.3% 10.6% 12.0% 15.6% 17.8% 15.0%
Matthew McCarvill 6.0% 7.4% 12.5% 12.2% 14.7% 15.1% 13.1% 8.8% 6.9% 3.3%
Cooper Bennett 2.5% 4.2% 5.8% 7.1% 8.5% 9.8% 13.1% 15.8% 16.4% 16.8%
George Wood 3.9% 3.7% 6.3% 8.4% 10.2% 11.5% 13.3% 15.4% 15.5% 11.8%
Joseph Arrigo 1.8% 2.2% 3.5% 3.8% 6.7% 7.0% 9.4% 13.1% 17.8% 34.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.