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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Washington College-0.18+0.33vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.71+0.21vs Predicted
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4Rutgers University-2.23+1.97vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.42-0.75vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-1.47-1.67vs Predicted
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7Washington College-2.04-1.50vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University-2.66-1.24vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-2.17-3.23vs Predicted
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10Princeton University-2.78-3.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.33Washington College-0.180.4%1st Place
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3.21U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.710.2%1st Place
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5.97Rutgers University-2.230.0%1st Place
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4.25U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.420.1%1st Place
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4.33Drexel University-1.470.1%1st Place
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5.5Washington College-2.040.1%1st Place
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6.76Monmouth University-2.660.0%1st Place
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5.77University of Delaware-2.170.1%1st Place
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6.89Princeton University-2.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Salzberg | 37.6% | 24.2% | 19.0% | 10.4% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Ryan | 18.0% | 24.2% | 19.3% | 15.2% | 11.8% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Cooper Bennett | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 17.1% | 17.4% | 13.7% |
| Matthew McCarvill | 10.8% | 13.7% | 14.4% | 18.0% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 2.0% |
| Charlotte Shaw | 11.5% | 12.9% | 16.1% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 5.8% | 3.6% |
| George Wood | 6.1% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 15.7% | 17.1% | 11.3% | 9.5% |
| Joseph Arrigo | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 21.8% | 26.9% |
| Tyler Needham | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 13.9% | 15.1% | 15.1% | 16.4% | 11.4% |
| John Morgan Griffith | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 19.9% | 32.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.